California's 31st Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 top-two primary)
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California's 31st Congressional District |
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Top-two primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: December 8, 2023 |
Primary: March 5, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in California |
Race ratings |
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
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A top-two primary takes place on March 5, 2024, in California's 31st Congressional District to determine which two candidates will run in the district's general election on November 5, 2024.
Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
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California uses a top-two primary system, in which all candidates appear on the same ballot. The top two vote-getters, regardless of party affiliation, move on to the general election. In states that do not use a top-two system, all parties are usually able to put forward a candidate for the general election if they choose to.[1][2][3][4]
Unlike the top-two format used in some states (Louisiana and Georgia special elections for example), a general election between the top-two candidates in California occurs regardless of whether the top candidate received 50% of the vote in the first round of elections.
As of 2019, California was one of three states to use a top-two primary system. Washington used the system for congressional and state-level elections, and Nebraska utilized a top-two system for its nonpartisan state legislature.
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
This page focuses on California's 31st Congressional District's top-two primary. For more in-depth information on the district's general election, see the following page:
Candidates and election results
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 31
The following candidates are running in the primary for U.S. House California District 31 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | ||
Bob Archuleta (D) | ||
Pedro Casas (R) | ||
Gil Cisneros (D) | ||
Gregory Hafif (D) | ||
Kurt Jose (D) | ||
Erskine Levi (No party preference) | ||
Mary Ann Lutz (D) | ||
Y. Marie Manvel (No party preference) | ||
Daniel Martinez (R) | ||
Susan Rubio (D) |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Elvira Moreno (R)
- Ricardo Vazques (D)
Voting information
- See also: Voting in California
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff compiled a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- California State Senate (Assumed office: 2018)
- Pico Rivera, California, City Council (2007-2018)
Biography: After graduating from Salesian High School, Rivera enlisted in the U.S. Army, serving as a paratrooper in the 82nd Airborne Division. After leaving the military, he attended the Rio Hondo College Police Academy and joined the Montebello Police Department. In 2012, President Barack Obama (D) appointed Archuleta to the U.S. Military Academy at West Point's Board of Visitors.
Show sources
Sources: Bob Archuleta campaign website, "About," accessed January 4, 2024, YouTube, "Bob Archuleta for Congress - Heroes," December 1, 2023, YouTube, "Bob Archuleta for Congress - Congresswoman Napolitano Endorses Bob Archuleta for District 31 - A Call for Continued Leadership," January 3, 2024; Bob Archuleta campaign website, "About," accessed January 4, 2024, The San Bernardino Sun, "Pico Rivera Mayor Archuleta receives presidential appointment," November 30, 2012, Los Cerritos News, "32nd Senate District Candidate Bob Archuleta Speaks Among Supporters at Young Democrats Forum," May 4, 2018
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- U.S. House California District 39 (2019-2021)
Submitted Biography: "Gil is the son of a public school cafeteria worker and a Vietnam veteran. He attended college on a Naval scholarship, and he served as a U.S. Navy officer for 10 years. Gil’s roots are in the San Gabriel Valley. He grew up with family in La Puente and attended Charter Oak High football games. After the Navy, he worked at Frito-Lay, with facilities in the City of Industry and Rancho Cucamonga, before he and his wife, Jacki, dedicated their lives to helping students through the educational foundation they established after winning the lottery. In 2018, Gil ran for Congress with strong support from Unions and flipped a historic seat from red to blue. In Congress, Cisneros directly recovered over $550K for constituents, brought back $136M in non-COVID related grants, responded to 119K letters, and held 250 in-district events, including 30 town halls. Gil was appointed by President Biden as the Undersecretary of Defense for Personnel and Readiness, and served as the military’s Chief Diversity, Equity and Inclusion Officer, where he expanded access to reproductive healthcare and access to abortion even in states that had banned it, promoted LGBTQ equity, worked to stop sexual assaults, and expanded universal pre-k to all military families. Gil has returned to the San Gabriel Valley in El Monte to run for Congress in the 31st Congressional District. Gil is fighting for gun safety reform, educational opportunities, climate action, and women's rights."
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Hafif earned bachelor's degrees in political science and business from the University of La Verne and a law degree from Pepperdine Law School. As of the 2024 election, he had worked for more than three decades as an attorney with a focus on representing small businesses and injured individuals. As of the election, Hafif was also the chairman and president of the Hafif Foundation—a family charitable foundation—as well as chairman of the board of Balboa Thrift and Loan Association, and a board member of the Health Service Alliance.
Show sources
Party: No party preference
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "My name is Erskine Levi. I am a Conservative. I belong to the American Solidarity Party. I am currently a Social Science Teacher and I teach US Government, Economics and World History (almost 30 Years). I also have a clear credentiak t teah Public Services (Law Enforcement/EMS). I am a former Captain in the US Army (Regular, National Guard and Reserves). My Miitary Occupational Specialties were Military Police, Armored Cavalry, & Military Intelligence. I was a member of the Military Police SWAT/SRT Team. have also worked as a Civilian Police Officer. I am married to my wife Heqther (over 40 Years) and have two adult sons, Joseph and Matthew. I am Pro-Life, from conception until natural death and pro-life for the whole life."
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Mayor of Monrovia, California (2009-2015)
- Monrovia, California, City Council (2003-2009)
Biography: Lutz graduated from Boise State University. In 1988, she founded Lutz & Company, a firm providing electronic court reporting services as well as training in electronic court reporting. As of the 2024 election, she remained the company's president. Lutz has also chaired the Immigration Resources Center of San Gabriel Valley and served as president of the National Women's Political Caucus of the San Gabriel Valley. Lutz worked as a government liaison and policy advisor to Napolitano.
Show sources
Sources: Mary Ann Lutz campaign website, "About," accessed January 4, 2024, Mary Ann Lutz campaign website, "Home page," accessed January 4, 2024, Facebook, "Mary Ann Lutz for Congress, District 31 - In my pursuit to champion the needs of working families, particularly within CA 31, I have dedicated over three decades to serving the San Gabriel Valley..." November 30, 2023; Mary Ann Lutz campaign website, "About Mary Ann," accessed January 4, 2024, Lutz & Company, "About Lutz & Company, Inc.," accessed January 4, 2024
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- California State Senate District 22 (Assumed office: 2018)
- Baldwin Park, California, City Council (2009-2018)
- City Clerk of Baldwin Park, California (2005-2009)
Biography: Rubio obtained a bachelor's degree in human development from East Los Angeles College and a master's degree in education from Azusa Pacific University. She worked for 17 years as a public school teacher in the Monrovia and Baldwin Park school systems.
Show sources
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Collapse all
|Gil Cisneros (D)
ECONOMY - Gil understands that working families are struggling because wages aren’t keeping up with prices. Too many families in the 31st District can’t keep up with the increased costs of housing, groceries, gas, and the overall cost of living while seeing their incomes remain flat. In Congress, Gil will fight for equal pay for working women, raise the minimum wage to a living wage, lower prescription drug prices, ensure retirement security, and he has plans to bring good-paying manufacturing jobs back home and make housing more affordable.
REPRODUCTIVE RIGHTS - Gil believes that decisions about a woman’s reproductive health should stay between a woman and her doctor. That means every woman should be able to access high-quality reproductive health care services, including contraception and fertility treatment.
Erskine Levi (No party preference)
Balance our nation's budget, eliminate wastful spending practices and lower our taxes!
Defend our country and our allies against Tyrannical Governments and Terrorists. I back Israel!
Gil Cisneros (D)
Erskine Levi (No party preference)
Erskine Levi (No party preference)
Erskine Levi (No party preference)
Erskine Levi (No party preference)
Erskine Levi (No party preference)
Erskine Levi (No party preference)
Russo-Ukraine War Israeli/Hamas/Iran War China vs Taiwan Issue
North Korea vs South Korea 7 the world issueErskine Levi (No party preference)
Erskine Levi (No party preference)
Erskine Levi (No party preference)
Erskine Levi (No party preference)
Erskine Levi (No party preference)
Erskine Levi (No party preference)
Erskine Levi (No party preference)
National American Solidarity Party Dr. Jacqueline Abernathy, Presidential Candidate (Primaries) 2023 Dr. James Hanink, Gubernatorial Candidate 2022 Amar Patel, Vice Presdential Nominee, American Solidarity Party, 2020 Desmond Silveira, Candidate for Secretary of State, 2022 Peter Sonski, Presidential Candidate, American Solidarity Party 2024
You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Campaign advertisements
This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.
Bob Archuleta
January 3, 2024 |
December 1, 2023 |
View more ads here:
Gil Cisneros
January 3, 2024 |
December 1, 2023 |
November 22, 2023 |
View more ads here:
Gregory Hafif
November 8, 2023 |
September 14, 2023 |
View more ads here:
Mary Ann Lutz
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Mary Ann Lutz while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Susan Rubio
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Susan Rubio while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Endorsements
Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
We provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. We will regularly check for polling aggregation for this race from those sites and add polls here once available. To notify us of polls available on either outlet for this race, please email us.
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[5]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[6][7][8]
Race ratings: California's 31st Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
January 2, 2024 | December 19, 2023 | December 12, 2023 | December 5, 2023 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Election spending
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bob Archuleta | Democratic Party | $436,168 | $133,559 | $302,610 | As of September 30, 2023 |
Gil Cisneros | Democratic Party | $612,024 | $281,131 | $330,894 | As of September 30, 2023 |
Gregory Hafif | Democratic Party | $718,310 | $6,788 | $711,522 | As of September 30, 2023 |
Kurt Jose | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Mary Ann Lutz | Democratic Party | $592,422 | $14,303 | $578,119 | As of September 30, 2023 |
Susan Rubio | Democratic Party | $320,863 | $21,847 | $299,016 | As of September 30, 2023 |
Pedro Casas | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Daniel Martinez | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Erskine Levi | No party preference | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Y. Marie Manvel | No party preference | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[9][10][11]
If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.
By candidate | By election |
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Note: As of January 3, 2024, Pedro Casas (R), Kurt Jose (R), and Y. Marie Manvel (No party preference) had not registered as candidates with the Federal Election Commission.
Election context
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in California in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in California, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
California | U.S. House | All candidates | 40-60 | $1,740.00[12] | 12/8/2023 | Source |
District election history
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 31
Incumbent Grace Napolitano defeated Daniel Martinez in the general election for U.S. House California District 31 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Grace Napolitano (D) | 59.5 | 91,472 | |
Daniel Martinez (R) | 40.5 | 62,153 |
Total votes: 153,625 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 31
Incumbent Grace Napolitano and Daniel Martinez defeated Rocco Anthony De Luca and Erskine Levi in the primary for U.S. House California District 31 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Grace Napolitano (D) | 55.5 | 49,415 | |
✔ | Daniel Martinez (R) | 36.7 | 32,721 | |
Rocco Anthony De Luca (D) | 7.8 | 6,948 | ||
Erskine Levi (No party preference) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 17 |
Total votes: 89,101 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Carolyn Covell (R)
- Jennifer Duffy (D)
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 31
Incumbent Pete Aguilar defeated Agnes Gibboney in the general election for U.S. House California District 31 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Pete Aguilar (D) | 61.3 | 175,315 | |
Agnes Gibboney (R) | 38.7 | 110,735 |
Total votes: 286,050 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 31
Incumbent Pete Aguilar and Agnes Gibboney defeated Eugene Weems in the primary for U.S. House California District 31 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Pete Aguilar (D) | 62.1 | 81,994 | |
✔ | Agnes Gibboney (R) | 37.8 | 49,889 | |
Eugene Weems (Unaffiliated) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 51 |
Total votes: 131,934 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 31
Incumbent Pete Aguilar defeated Sean Flynn in the general election for U.S. House California District 31 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Pete Aguilar (D) | 58.7 | 110,143 | |
Sean Flynn (R) | 41.3 | 77,352 |
Total votes: 187,495 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 31
Incumbent Pete Aguilar and Sean Flynn defeated Kaisar Ahmed in the primary for U.S. House California District 31 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Pete Aguilar (D) | 45.9 | 41,337 | |
✔ | Sean Flynn (R) | 45.1 | 40,622 | |
Kaisar Ahmed (D) | 9.0 | 8,108 |
Total votes: 90,067 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Earlier results
To view the electoral history dating back to 1990 for the office of California's 31st Congressional District, click [show] to expand the section. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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2016 Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Pete Aguilar (D) defeated Paul Chabot (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Aguilar and Chabot defeated Kaisar Ahmed (D), Joe Baca (R), and Sean Flynn (R) in the top-two primary on June 7, 2016.[13][14]
2014 Incumbent Gary Miller (R) retired in 2014. Pete Aguilar (D) defeated Paul Chabot (R) in the general election.
2012 According to a Cook Political Report analysis, the 31st District was one of 13 congressional districts in California that was competitive in 2012. The analysis rated it as Republican Toss Up.[15] District 42 incumbent Gary Miller won election in the district.[16]
2010 2008
2006
2004
2002
2000 1998 1996 1994
1992
1990
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2024 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This election is a battleground race. Other 2024 battleground elections include:
- Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024
- New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024
- New York's 17th Congressional District election, 2024
See also
- 2024 election dates and deadlines
- 2024 election dates and deadlines
- 2024 election dates and deadlines
- California's 31st Congressional District election, 2024
- United States House elections in California, 2024 (March 5 top-two primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2024
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2024
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2024
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2024
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures, "State Primary Election Types," accessed October 25, 2019
- ↑ FairVote, "Primaries," accessed October 25, 2019
- ↑ Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
- ↑ Alex Padilla California Secretary of State, "Primary Elections in California," accessed October 25, 2019
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
- ↑ 2,000 signatures can be provided in lieu of the filing fee
- ↑ California Secretary of State, "Certified List of Candidates for Voter-Nominated Offices June 7, 2016, Presidential Primary Election," accessed April 4, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "California Primary Results," June 7, 2016
- ↑ The Cook Political Report, "2012 Competitive House Race Chart," accessed July 10, 2012
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, California," accessed August 15, 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 1996," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 8, 1994," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1992," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 1990," accessed March 28, 2013
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